Update: 25. August 2017 Hier ist ein kurzer Teaser-Podcast über diesen Event:) FUTURE TECH & TRENDS Mit Futurist Gerd Leonhard JETZT ANMELDEN BROSCHÜRE ANFORDERN FUTURIZE YOUR BUSINESS NOW! Sie möchten verstehen… … warum der exponentielle technische Wandel Unternehmen, Arbeitswelt und Wertschöpfungsketten auf den Kopf stellt? …
Archive for August, 2017
Anything that can be digitised or automated, will be – but anything that cannot will become extremely valuable (new gif)
Download the .mov file: anything digitized or not useless humans vs androrithms final Read more about Androrithms (that which cannot be digitised)
John Donovan (AT&T’s Chief Strategy Officer and Group President) and me had a pretty cool chat about technology, connectivity, media, creativity and humanity – check it out below. I love John’s statement ‘…I guess it is fair to say that you are an optimist”. Indeed. More
Video and slides from my keynote at The Economist Innovation Forum 2017 in Berlin: Technology, Business, Digital Ethics (updated)
Here is the deck, below (PDF 20MB), More about the event here. Business Technology and Digital Ethics Gerd Leonhard @Economist Innovation Forum Berlin 2017 Public Deck Update August 18th 2017: here is the entire video (presentation and interview with Tom Standage). Note: you can
Why the Singularity is certain to happen in my own lifetime, and how it matters (Futurist/Humanist Gerd Leonhard)
I recently came to an important realisation: I will most likely see the so-called Singularity happen in my own lifetime. I’m 56, and I believe that this inflection point at which computers, ‘thinking machines’ and AI become infinitely and recursively powerful is no more than
Another thing worth bearing in mind is countersignaling, which, unlike signaling, seems to be uniquely human. There aren’t cases of peacocks who demonstrate their extraordinary genetic quality by having really shitty tails. What seems to happen with humans is you have multiple parallel status currencies, and quite often you will signal your position on status by adopting none of the status currencies of the class immediately below your own, or by essentially demonstrating zero effort in standard status currencies. An unwashed bass guitarist in a cool rock band, for example, can get away with poor levels of hygiene, which signals: “I’m so sexy by dint of my bass guitar playing skills that I can get away with not making an effort in any of these conventional areas.” Sometimes it’s done as a positional thing, and sometimes it’s done as a pure demonstration of handicap.
Relevance theory [from Dan Sperber and Deirdre Wilson] might be another thing that’s interesting. In other words, replacing the “conduit” idea of communication with this idea that we communicate the minimum necessary for the recipient to recreate the message within their own head using context as a very large part of the information. Those interesting new theories of communication, which don’t always sit with the Claude Shannon theories, are worth exploring. A very simple manifestation would be jokes which, like IKEA furniture, demand some self-assembly on the part of the recipient.”
Things to Hang on Your Mental Mug Tree | Edge.org
The steel made up the Keystone XL pipeline, finally completed in 2019, two years after the project launched with great fanfare after approval by the Trump administration. The pipeline was built at a cost of about $7 billion, bringing oil from the Canadian tar sands to the US, with a pit stop in the town of Baker, Montana, to pick up US crude from the Bakken formation. At its peak, it carried over 500,000 barrels a day for processing at refineries in Texas and Louisiana.
But in 2025, no one wants the oil.
The Keystone XL will go down as the world’s last great fossil fuels infrastructure project. TransCanada, the pipeline’s operator, charged about $10 per barrel for the transportation services, which means the pipeline extension earned about $5 million per day, or $1.8 billion per year. But after shutting down less than four years into its expected 40 year operational life, it never paid back its costs.”
This is how Big Oil will die – NewCo Shift
It’s always great to speak in Finland, and being at the SHIFT 2017 event was a great pleasure, as well. Below is my deck from my talk; we will have a video available soon, as well. Btw: if you sign up for shift 2017 right now you
A more apt name for our species would be Homo prospectus, because we thrive by considering our prospects. The power of prospection is what makes us wise. Looking into the future, consciously and unconsciously, is a central function of our large brain, as psychologists and neuroscientists have discovered — rather belatedly, because for the past century most researchers have assumed that we’re prisoners of the past and the present.”
Opinion | We Aren’t Built to Live in the Moment
Human ingenuity will be the genesis for IoT prosperity: thoughtful piece by Jeanne Beliveau-Dunne (Cisco)
We explored this topic in depth at the recent IoT World Forum in London, where renowned futurist Gerd Leonhard provided us a stunning window into the ethics of IoT and the critical role of human ingenuity in designing and shepherding its outcomes. (Watch the replay of Gerd’s keynote, moderated by Cisco’s CMO, Karen Walker: “Beyond Business: A Holistic View of the Societal and Human Impact of IoT.”)
As the IoT World Forum team put its agenda together for an influential community of C-suite executives in London, there was a realization that we needed to address this topic, as provocative (and sobering) as it might be. We recognized that we had to acknowledge the “elephant in the room”: that we are in unchartered territory, as we enter into this new era of exponential change together. When we think about what the implications are of a rapid surge in IoT innovation, we must all collectively consider the potential effects on the geopolitical and global economic landscape (in both advanced and developing nations); on global challenges such as wealth inequality, aging populations, healthcare, and the environment; and on the global workforce. Of course, no one has all the answers, but we must be bold in exploring these issues as a global business community. I will explore this in more depth in my next blog, but I will say that we know we need a global unified approach to succeed. No one can go it alone, and a “head in the sand” mentality is not an option.”
Human ingenuity will be the genesis for IoT prosperity